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Meanwhile the global economy is deflating, and the S&P 500 is rallying, these two things don't mix well together. When the economy deflates the stock market plunges.
Investors hope the US and China will agree a trade deal. Any rally caused by government stimulus/deals will fade and the stock market will decline to new lows. The difficult bit is knowing when the decline will resume. These government interventions can support the market for longer than you expect.
Inflation is falling which is in line with the start of deflation, I expect prices to fall in the months ahead, prices of goods, services and asset prices. Right now some people are talking about a possible recession in the US. It will take months before the recession starts and months before the depression starts.
The dollar will continue to decline, which means gold and GBP/USD will continue to rally. At the end of the depression a new crisis will emerge, the dollar collapse. The economic crisis will have taken its toll on the dollar, this will probably prompt a run on the dollar and this will precipitate a collapse in bond prices. The result will be inflation and possibly hyperinflation. The dollar will lose purchasing power, the stock market will be considerably lower, it could take ten or fifteen years before the stock market reaches the bottom.
This won't happen in a straight line, governments will intervene along the way, in the process they will create some huge rallies like the current one. As you can see there is no hurry to short the market, what I have learned from previous bear markets is that you want to sell high, as high as possible, because there are always some huge rallies caused by government intervention.
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